President Donald Trump seems to have successfully sought revenge on his Republican enemies in Indiana: state senators who voted down a new congressional map that would have likely added two Republican-leaning districts.
Of the 21 Republicans who voted against the new map, eight are up for reelection and seven faced Trump-backed primary challengers in Tuesday’s primaries. So far, it appears most of them will no longer serve in the statehouse, demonstrating that Trump still holds sway over the party even as his approval rating is low.
Trump’s picks were projected to win in five of the seven races, per early election results. So far, state Sen. Greg Goode is the only incumbent to keep his seat.
The results in Indiana are ominous for other Republicans incumbents Trump is trying to take down this year. In Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District, the president endorsed Ed Gallrein against Rep. Thomas Massie, who has frequently bucked the president on a number of issues, including the Iran war, the Epstein files and tariffs. In Louisiana, he is backing Rep. Julia Letlow in the Senate race against Sen. Bill Cassidy, a physician who has pushed back against the “Make America Health Again” movement.
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James Blair, a White House deputy chief of staff and one of the chief architects of Trump’s mid-decade redistricting push, gloated while in the Oval Office on Tuesday night, pointing out that the president was in another room taking pictures with dinner guests and not actively monitoring the results.
“He knew how we were gonna do, so he’s been going about his evening,” Blair told NOTUS.
“When you never descend from the ivory tower to talk to voters, you sometimes don’t hear what they are saying,” he added. “Indiana state senators learned that lesson the hard way tonight.”
The Indiana primaries saw $13.5 million in ad spending this cycle, a whopping 4,736% increase from last cycle, per AdImpact. The top advertisers were PACs associated with Sen. Jim Banks: Hoosier Leadership for America and American Leadership PAC.
“Everyone in Indiana politics should have learned an important lesson today: President Trump is the single most popular Republican among Hoosier voters,” Banks said in a statement. “Indiana is a conservative state, and we deserve conservatives in our State Senate who have a pulse on Republican voters.”
MAGA-aligned grassroots groups also bankrolled the president’s picks. Club for Growth Action told NOTUS it spent $2 million across eight races, targeting incumbents in seven of them. Turning Point Action, which sent field representatives from around the country to run get-out-the-vote operations, said it would work with other PACs for an “eight-figure spend,” Politico reported.
The incumbents were also at odds with state leaders. Gov. Mike Braun and Banks pledged to spend six and seven figures on the race, respectively. The pro-redistricting super PAC Fair Maps Indiana Action, run by a former Mike Pence adviser, Marty Obst, planned to spend seven figures.
For challengers and their supporters, the national redistricting war raised the stakes of these primaries.
“A party serious about governing doesn’t just play defense — it builds a deeper, stronger bench that reflects the preferences of voters, not the incumbent consulting class,” David McIntosh, the president of Club for Growth, said in a statement.
Incumbents were frustrated that Trump attacked them over redistricting when they aligned with him on key issues, and Republicans across the state disliked Washington politicians meddling in local races.
“Even though we are loyal to President Trump, there’s also a degree or a feeling that we can make up our own minds and that there’s no rubber stamp,” said Steve Shine, the chair of the Allen County GOP in northeast Indiana, in an interview last week.
Shine said he is worried that if national intervention continues in local races, it will hinder candidates from pushing their own message.
“It is going to make localism challenging, and it probably — at least for the next couple of election cycles — will define the manner in which campaigns are run,” he said. “I see a rerun of this in 2028.”
A campaign volunteer working for an incumbent said that none of the incumbent losses were surprising given the president’s support and millions of dollars in outside spending.
“The question is, and I think we know the answer, does this become a traveling road show that looks for other Republican officeholders to punish?”
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