Answering the Big Question in Georgia: Will Black Men Really Stay Home on Election Day?

Early voting data shows Black men haven’t been participating at the levels analysts believe they need to for a Kamala Harris win. But Democrats also think Election Day could be quite different.

Supporters cheer as Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris.

Supporters cheer as Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign rally at James R. Hallford Stadium in Clarkston, GA. Julia Demaree Nikhinson/AP

MACON, GA — If Donald Trump’s rally here on Sunday was a pie chart, and those wearing an “I’m Voting for the Felon” shirt were a demographic, they’d outnumber the Black men in attendance.

One of the biggest questions about Georgia is how many Black men will actually show up for Trump on Election Day — and how many Black voters will just stay home.

One-third of Georgia’s population is Black. And an energized Black electorate could very well tip the scales for Kamala Harris. But a more muted showing could swing Georgia’s 16 electoral votes Trump’s way.